Prediction of Nagi Hanatani vs Tahlia Kokkinis at W35 Darwin 10-07-25

• In recent months, Tahlia Kokkinis has a slight advantage in second serve performance, winning 42.59% of points compared to Nagi Hanatani's 38.46%.
• When it comes to winning points off their opponent's second serve, Kokkinis maintains a small lead, achieving 50.55% versus Hanatani's 49.53%.
• Nagi Hanatani outperforms Kokkinis in first serve returns, winning 38.94% of points compared to Kokkinis' 31.67%.
• Under pressure, both players perform similarly, with Kokkinis slightly ahead, saving 44.94% of breakpoints against Hanatani's 44.68%.
• Over the past year, Kokkinis demonstrates a stronger overall win-loss performance, winning 65.52% of her matches against Hanatani's 47.62%.
• Both players excel on clay, each winning 46% of matches on this surface in their careers.
• Kokkinis has shown dominance in lower-tier tournaments, winning 78.57% of her Futures/ITF matches compared to Hanatani's 47.17% in Challengers/ITF tournaments.
• While both players face similarly ranked opponents, Hanatani has often faced slightly higher-ranked competition, with average opponent rankings around 391.97 to Kokkinis' 367.41.
• In deciding sets, Hanatani impressively wins 72% of these high-pressure matches, significantly outperforming Kokkinis' 38%.

Editorial Prediction (October 7, 2025, UTC):

This upcoming match between Nagi Hanatani and Tahlia Kokkinis promises to be highly competitive, with both players showcasing distinct strengths and weaknesses in recent form.

Tahlia Kokkinis appears to have a slight edge overall, particularly with her superior second serve performance and recent match-winning consistency. Her ability to win points on her opponent's second serve and save breakpoints suggest a player who thrives under pressure.

However, Nagi Hanatani's impressive record in deciding sets and her capability to return first serves effectively should not be underestimated. She could leverage these strengths to turn the match in her favor if the opportunity arises.

Given the current analysis, Tahlia Kokkinis seems to hold a slight advantage and is the most likely favorite to win this matchup, assuming she maintains consistency in her performance on the day.